Prob of Dying Young from Nuclear vs. AGI Risk

	A	B	C	D	E	F	G	H	I	J	K	L
1	Age	23		Interval Length	30					Prob Death(Nuclear)	6.05%
2	Gender	M	0	Start Year	2022					Prob Death (Natural)	5.31%
3	Prob of Death \| AGI	0.5								P(Nuclear Death \| Death)	53.24%
4	Age	Prob Death (M)	Prob Death (F)		Year	Age by Year	Prob (Full Scale) Nuclear War	Prob Death (Nuclear War)	Prob Death (Natural)	Cum Prob Death (Nuclear)	Cum Prob Death (Natural)	Prob(Nuclear Death \| Death)

5	0	0.004224	0.003503		2022	23	0.39%	0.20%	0.05%	0.20%	0.05%	78.82%
6	1	0.000229	0.000214		2023	24	0.39%	0.20%	0.06%	0.39%	0.11%	78.32%
7	2	0.000127	0.000114		2024	25	0.39%	0.20%	0.06%	0.59%	0.17%	77.69%
8	3	0.000102	0.000095		2025	26	0.39%	0.20%	0.06%	0.78%	0.23%	77.33%
9	4	0.000086	0.000064		2026	27	0.39%	0.20%	0.06%	0.98%	0.29%	76.99%
10	5	0.000074	0.000074		2027	28	0.39%	0.20%	0.07%	1.17%	0.36%	76.51%
11	6	0.000085	0.000071		2028	29	0.39%	0.20%	0.07%	1.37%	0.43%	75.97%
12	7	0.000067	0.000055		2029	30	0.39%	0.20%	0.08%	1.56%	0.51%	75.41%
13	8	0.000069	0.000058		2030	31	0.39%	0.20%	0.08%	1.76%	0.59%	74.79%
14	9	0.000060	0.000051		2031	32	0.39%	0.20%	0.09%	1.95%	0.68%	74.23%
15	10	0.000078	0.000066		2032	33	0.39%	0.20%	0.10%	2.15%	0.77%	73.53%
16	11	0.000077	0.000055		2033	34	0.39%	0.20%	0.10%	2.34%	0.87%	72.89%
17	12	0.000102	0.000057		2034	35	0.39%	0.20%	0.11%	2.54%	0.98%	72.14%
18	13	0.000116	0.000087		2035	36	0.39%	0.20%	0.12%	2.73%	1.09%	71.40%
19	14	0.000129	0.000096		2036	37	0.39%	0.20%	0.14%	2.93%	1.23%	70.45%
20	15	0.000172	0.000113		2037	38	0.39%	0.20%	0.13%	3.12%	1.36%	69.69%
21	16	0.000205	0.000131		2038	39	0.39%	0.20%	0.15%	3.32%	1.50%	68.83%
22	17	0.000311	0.000158		2039	40	0.39%	0.20%	0.16%	3.51%	1.66%	67.90%
23	18	0.000402	0.000218		2040	41	0.39%	0.20%	0.17%	3.71%	1.83%	66.98%
24	19	0.000454	0.000212		2041	42	0.39%	0.20%	0.18%	3.90%	2.01%	66.01%
25	20	0.000525	0.000187		2042	43	0.39%	0.20%	0.20%	4.10%	2.21%	65.00%
26	21	0.000507	0.000211		2043	44	0.39%	0.20%	0.22%	4.29%	2.42%	63.92%
27	22	0.000497	0.000245		2044	45	0.39%	0.20%	0.25%	4.49%	2.66%	62.75%
28	23	0.000524	0.000215		2045	46	0.39%	0.20%	0.26%	4.68%	2.92%	61.58%
29	24	0.000556	0.000223		2046	47	0.39%	0.20%	0.27%	4.88%	3.19%	60.48%
30	25	0.000601	0.000260		2047	48	0.39%	0.20%	0.30%	5.07%	3.47%	59.35%
31	26	0.000607	0.000257		2048	49	0.39%	0.20%	0.33%	5.27%	3.79%	58.14%
32	27	0.000629	0.000310		2049	50	0.39%	0.20%	0.36%	5.46%	4.13%	56.91%
33	28	0.000681	0.000314		2050	51	0.39%	0.20%	0.38%	5.66%	4.50%	55.68%
34	29	0.000728	0.000338		2051	52	0.39%	0.20%	0.41%	5.85%	4.89%	54.47%
35	30	0.000771	0.000387		2052	53	0.39%	0.20%	0.44%	6.05%	5.31%	53.24%
36	31	0.000835	0.000394		2053	54	0.39%	0.20%	0.47%	6.24%	5.76%	52.02%
37	32	0.000858	0.000468		2054	55	0.39%	0.20%	0.50%	6.44%	6.23%	50.80%
38	33	0.000957	0.000493		2055	56	0.39%	0.20%	0.56%	6.63%	6.76%	49.53%
39	34	0.000989	0.000585		2056	57	0.39%	0.20%	0.61%	6.83%	7.32%	48.25%
40	35	0.001100	0.000592		2057	58	0.39%	0.20%	0.67%	7.02%	7.94%	46.92%
41	36	0.001155	0.000678		2058	59	0.39%	0.20%	0.72%	7.22%	8.61%	45.60%
42	37	0.001351	0.000761		2059	60	0.39%	0.20%	0.79%	7.41%	9.33%	44.26%
43	38	0.001317	0.000792		2060	61	0.39%	0.20%	0.86%	7.61%	10.11%	42.92%
44	39	0.001457	0.000868		2061	62	0.39%	0.20%	0.96%	7.80%	10.98%	41.54%
45	40	0.001606	0.000924		2062	63	0.39%	0.20%	1.06%	8.00%	11.92%	40.15%
46	41	0.001700	0.001004		2063	64	0.39%	0.20%	1.12%	8.19%	12.90%	38.83%
47	42	0.001848	0.001102		2064	65	0.39%	0.20%	1.25%	8.38%	13.99%	37.48%
48	43	0.002015	0.001239		2065	66	0.39%	0.20%	1.39%	8.58%	15.18%	36.12%
49	44	0.002210	0.001345		2066	67	0.39%	0.20%	1.48%	8.77%	16.43%	34.81%
50	45	0.002467	0.001484		2067	68	0.39%	0.20%	1.63%	8.97%	17.80%	33.51%
51	46	0.002646	0.001625		2068	69	0.39%	0.20%	1.79%	9.16%	19.27%	32.23%
52	47	0.002743	0.001744		2069	70	0.39%	0.20%	1.92%	9.36%	20.83%	31.01%
53	48	0.002960	0.001966		2070	71	0.39%	0.20%	2.08%	9.55%	22.47%	29.83%
54	49	0.003297	0.002051		2071	72	0.39%	0.20%	2.28%	9.75%	24.24%	28.69%
55	50	0.003577	0.002234		2072	73	0.39%	0.20%	2.58%	9.94%	26.19%	27.52%
56	51	0.003821	0.002452		2073	74	0.39%	0.20%	2.88%	10.14%	28.32%	26.37%
57	52	0.004075	0.002581		2074	75	0.39%	0.20%	3.23%	10.34%	30.63%	25.23%
58	53	0.004402	0.002764		2075	76	0.39%	0.20%	3.57%	10.53%	33.11%	24.13%
59	54	0.004720	0.002964		2076	77	0.39%	0.20%	4.01%	10.73%	35.80%	23.05%
60	55	0.005046	0.003283		2077	78	0.39%	0.20%	4.52%	10.92%	38.70%	22.01%
61	56	0.005593	0.003637		2078	79	0.39%	0.20%	5.03%	11.12%	41.78%	21.01%
62	57	0.006060	0.003928		2079	80	0.39%	0.20%	5.61%	11.31%	45.05%	20.07%
63	58	0.006695	0.004367		2080	81	0.39%	0.20%	6.20%	11.51%	48.46%	19.19%
64	59	0.007239	0.004707		2081	82	0.39%	0.20%	6.92%	11.70%	52.02%	18.36%
65	60	0.007912	0.005247		2082	83	0.39%	0.20%	7.75%	11.90%	55.74%	17.59%
66	61	0.008636	0.005636		2083	84	0.39%	0.20%	8.73%	12.09%	59.60%	16.86%
67	62	0.009601	0.006451		2084	85	0.39%	0.20%	9.75%	12.29%	63.54%	16.20%
68	63	0.010552	0.006818		2085	86	0.39%	0.20%	11.02%	12.48%	67.56%	15.59%
69	64	0.011171	0.007379		2086	87	0.39%	0.20%	12.28%	12.68%	71.54%	15.05%
70	65	0.012460	0.008113		2087	88	0.39%	0.20%	13.77%	12.87%	75.46%	14.57%
71	66	0.013853	0.008770		2088	89	0.39%	0.20%	15.45%	13.07%	79.25%	14.15%
72	67	0.014782	0.009554		2089	90	0.39%	0.20%	16.35%	13.26%	82.64%	13.83%
73	68	0.016348	0.010602		2090	91	0.39%	0.20%	18.33%	13.46%	85.83%	13.55%
74	69	0.017949	0.011458		2091	92	0.39%	0.20%	20.09%	13.65%	88.67%	13.34%
75	70	0.019238	0.012895		2092	93	0.39%	0.20%	22.30%	13.85%	91.20%	13.18%
76	71	0.020795	0.013637		2093	94	0.39%	0.20%	24.46%	14.04%	93.35%	13.07%
77	72	0.022782	0.015499		2094	95	0.39%	0.20%	26.90%	14.24%	95.14%	13.01%
78	73	0.025799	0.017289		2095	96	0.39%	0.20%	29.05%	14.43%	96.55%	13.00%
79	74	0.028776	0.019688		2096	97	0.39%	0.20%	31.41%	14.63%	97.63%	13.03%
80	75	0.032300	0.021766		2097	98	0.39%	0.20%	33.55%	14.82%	98.43%	13.09%
81	76	0.035730	0.024397		2098	99	0.39%	0.20%	36.99%	15.02%	99.01%	13.17%
82	77	0.040136	0.027918		2099	100	0.39%	0.20%	39.05%	15.21%	99.40%	13.27%
83	78	0.045188	0.031420		2100	101	0.39%	0.20%		15.41%
84	79	0.050259	0.035713
85	80	0.056143	0.039611
86	81	0.062030	0.045127
87	82	0.069197	0.050197
88	83	0.077486	0.057155
89	84	0.087296	0.065142
90	85	0.097476	0.073748
91	86	0.110221	0.084520
92	87	0.122808	0.095918
93	88	0.137654	0.107798
94	89	0.154513	0.121609
95	90	0.163489	0.136466
96	91	0.183325	0.153438
97	92	0.200869	0.171026
98	93	0.222981	0.189568
99	94	0.244606	0.207870
100	95	0.268951	0.230227