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Moral weights and discount rateunittypeGiveWellGW discussionNotes
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Moral weights
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Consumption Increases
GW's 2020 write-up on moral weights
Our model accounts for changes in the natural log of consumption. The logarithmic model captures the idea that money has diminishing value as you get more and more of it. For example, our model considers a 50% increase in income as a little better than 50% as good as an 100% increase in income.
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Value assigned to doubling consumption for one person for one yearUoVinput1
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Averting deaths
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Value assigned to averting the death of an individual under 5 from malariaUoVinput116
GW's analysis of moral weights for malaria
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Value assigned to averting the death of an individual 5 or older from malariaUoVinput73
GW's analysis of moral weights for malaria
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Value assigned to averting the death of a 6- to 59-month-old child (VAS)UoVinput119
GW's analysis of moral weights for vitamin A supplementation
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Value assigned to averting the death of an individual under 5 from vaccine-preventable diseasesUoVinput116
We use the same value we calculated for malaria because we have not attempted to calculate the age distribution of mortalities among children under 5 for all vaccine-preventable diseases. We would guess that this age distribution of mortalities is similar to the age distribution of mortalities for deaths caused by malaria among children under 5.
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Value assigned to averting the death of an individual 5-14 years old from vaccine-preventable diseasesUoVinput134
GW's analysis of moral weights for New Incentives
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Value assigned to averting the death of an individual 15-49 years old from vaccine-preventable diseasesUoVinput104
GW's analysis of moral weights for New Incentives
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Value assigned to averting the death of an individual 50-74 years old from vaccine-preventable diseasesUoVinput42
GW's analysis of moral weights for New Incentives
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Derived value assignments
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Value assigned to increasing consumption by 10% for one person for one yearUoVcalc0.14
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Value assigned to increasing consumption by 25% for one person for one yearUoVcalc0.32
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Value assigned to increasing ln(consumption) by one unit for one person for one yearUoVcalc1.44
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Value assigned to increasing consumption by 10% for 100 people for one yearUoVcalc13.8
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Value assigned to increasing consumption by 25% for 100 people for one yearUoVcalc32.2
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Implications
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Value of an over-5 life saved relative to an under-5 life savedUoVcalc63%
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Value of doubling consumption for one person for one year relative to saving the life of a child under-5 (AMF)UoVcalc1%
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Discount rate
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Discount rate components
GW's write-up on discount rates
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Improving circumstances over time%input1.7%
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Compounding non-monetary benefits%input0.9%
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Temporal uncertainty%input1.4%
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Pure time preference (donors)%input0.0%
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Pure time preference (program participants)%input0.0%
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Overall discount rate%calc4.0%
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