ABCD
1
Kanonotes
2
Use of modern contraception
3
Percent of women using modern contraception without radio messaging campaigns29.5%
(not directly used in calculations, for reference only)
4
Increase in modern contraceptive use due to radio messaging campaigns (pp)5.9%
(not directly used in calculations, for reference only)
5
Number of additional women using contraception due to donation
6
Program cost per additional woman using contraception$3See "Sample costs and coverage" sheet
7
Government contraceptives provision cost per additional woman using contraception$20See "Government costs and savings" sheet
8
Government savings from avoided pregnancies per additional woman using contraception-$7See "Government costs and savings" sheet
9
Net cost per additional couple-year of protection$11
Calc (not used in calculations, for interpretation only)
10
Arbitrary donation$100,000Arbitrary
11
Internal validity adjustment50%
12
External validity adjustment75%
13
Number of additional women using contraception due to donation11,264Calc
14
Total government spending$148,002Calc
15
Total spent by all contributors$248,002Calc
16
Benefit - couple-year of protection (CYP)
17
CYPs per additional woman using contraception1.5Assumption
18
Total CYPs due to radio messaging campaigns16,895Calc
19
Value assigned to one CYP0.92Rough guess
20
Total units of value from CYPs due to radio messaging15,561Calc
21
Initial results
22
Initial cost per CYP$15
Calc (not used in calculations, for interpretation only)
23
Initial units of value generated per dollar spent0.063Calc
24
Initial cost-effectiveness estimate in multiples of cash transfers18.7
Calc, cash transfer value based on GiveDirectly CEA
25
26
Leverage/Funging adjustment
27
Total expenditure attributable to different actors
28
Sample charity$100,000
29
Domestic government$148,002
30
Total expenditure$248,002
31
Counterfactual value of spending from domestic government (units of value per dollar)0.005
Based on our CEA, using weighted average of 80% health, 10% education, 10% social security
32
Probability of scenarios in absence of charity spending
33
Scenario 1: Government costs would replace charity's costs10%Best guess
34
Scenario 2: Government financial costs would stay the same0%Best guess
35
Scenario 3: Distributions would go unfunded90%Best guess
36
Expected change in government spending on the program in absence of charity's spending
37
Scenario 1: Government costs would replace charity's costs$100,000
38
Scenario 2: Government financial costs would stay the same$0
39
Scenario 3: Distributions would go unfunded-$148,002
40
Units of value generated by changes in amount of government spending on the program in absence of charity's spending
41
Scenario 1: Government costs would replace charity's costs6,274Calc
42
Scenario 2: Government financial costs would stay the same0Calc
43
Scenario 3: Distributions would go unfunded-9,286Calc
44
Units of value generated by changes in amount of funding spent on counterfactual programs by government in absence of charity's spending
45
Scenario 1: Government costs would replace charity's costs-507Calc
46
Scenario 2: Government financial costs would stay the same0Calc
47
Scenario 3: Distributions would go unfunded750Calc
48
Net units of value created by changes in spending by government in absence of charity's spending
49
Scenario 1: Government costs would replace charity's costs5,767Calc
50
Scenario 2: Government financial costs would stay the same0Calc
51
Scenario 3: Distributions would go unfunded-8,536Calc
52
Net units of value created by charity's spending
53
Scenario 1: Government costs would replace charity's costs507Calc
54
Scenario 2: Government financial costs would stay the same6,274Calc
55
Scenario 3: Distributions would go unfunded14,810Calc
56
Results after leverage/funging adjustment
57
Total units of value generated, after accounting for leverage/funging13,380Calc
58
Units of value generated per dollar spent by charity0.134Calc
59
Cost-effectiveness estimate in multiples of cash transfers (adjusted, after accounting for leverage/funging)
39.9
Calc, cash transfer value based on GiveDirectly CEA
60
Change in cost-effectiveness from leverage/funging (%)113%Calc
61
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